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   投資技巧   

交易警言

1. Plan your trades and trade your plans.
為你的交易做好計(jì)劃;按你的計(jì)劃執(zhí)行交易。
2. Hope and fear are the two greatest enemies of speculators.
期冀和恐懼是投機(jī)者兩個(gè)最大的敵人。
3. Keep records of your trading results.
對(duì)你的交易結(jié)果做好紀(jì)錄。
4. Maintain a positive attitude no matter how much you lose.
不管你輸了多少,保持一個(gè)積極的態(tài)度。
5. Avoid overconfidence——it could be your greatest enemy.
不要過(guò)分自信——它會(huì)成為你最大的仇敵。
6. Continually set higher trading goals.
不斷設(shè)定更高的交易目標(biāo)。
7. Stops are the key to success for many traders——limit your losses!
設(shè)定止損是很多交易者成功的關(guān)鍵——限制你的虧損!
8. The most successful traders are those that trade long term.
最成功的交易商是做長(zhǎng)線交易的交易商。
9. Successful traders buy into bad news & sell into good news.
成功的交易者在壞消息時(shí)買(mǎi),在好消息時(shí)賣(mài)。
10. The successful trader is not afraid to buy high & sell low.
成功的交易者不怕在高位時(shí)買(mǎi)進(jìn),在低位時(shí)賣(mài)出。
11. Successful traders have a well scheduled planned time for studying the markets.
成功的交易者有效地規(guī)劃時(shí)間來(lái)進(jìn)行市場(chǎng)研究。
12. Successful traders set profit objectives for each trade they enter.
成功的交易者為他們所做的每一筆交易都設(shè)定有贏利目標(biāo)。
13. Do not collect the opinions of others before entering trades——facts are priceless——opinions are worthless. In short successful traders isolate themselves from the opinions of others.
不要在還沒(méi)進(jìn)入交易以前就到處征求意見(jiàn)——事實(shí)價(jià)值無(wú)窮、意見(jiàn)一文不值。簡(jiǎn)單地說(shuō),成功的交易者不為別人的意見(jiàn)所左右。
14. Continually strive for patience, perseverance, determination, and rational action.
不斷地為耐心、毅力、決斷和理性的行為作努力。
15. Never get out of the market just because you have lost patience or get into the market because you are anxious from waiting.
決不要因?yàn)槭ツ托亩顺鍪袌?chǎng),也決不要因?yàn)槠炔患按M(jìn)入市場(chǎng)。
16. Avoid getting in or out of the market too often.
進(jìn)出市場(chǎng)不要過(guò)于頻繁。
17. The most profitable trading tool is simply following the trend.
最佳的贏利方法就是跟隨趨勢(shì)。
18. Never change your position in the market without a good reason. When you make a trade, let it be for some good reason or according to a definite plan; then do not get out without a definite indication of a change in trend.
除非有充分的理由,不要改變你在市場(chǎng)里的頭寸。每做一手交易時(shí),你都要有可以依據(jù)的理由或者明確的計(jì)劃;此后,除非有明確的趨勢(shì)改變的跡象,不要退出。
19. Losses make the speculator studious——not profits. Take advantage of every loss to improve your knowledge of market action.
賠錢(qián)不能贏利,但能使投機(jī)者細(xì)心鉆研。抓住每一次賠錢(qián)的機(jī)會(huì),改進(jìn)你對(duì)市場(chǎng)行為的了解。
20. The most difficult task in speculation is not prediction but self-control. Successful trading is difficult and frustrating. You are the most important element in the success equation.
在投機(jī)里最難的任務(wù)不是預(yù)測(cè),而是自我控制。成功的交易是艱難和令人煩惱的交易。在成功的等式里,你是最重要的因素。
21. The basic substance of price change is human emotion. Panic, fear, greed, insecurity, anxiety, stress, and uncertainty are the primary sources of short-term price change.
價(jià)格變化的基本要素是人的情感。慌亂、恐懼、貪婪、不安全感、擔(dān)心、壓力和猶豫不定,這些是短期價(jià)格變動(dòng)的主要根源。
22. Bullish consensus is typically at its high when the market is at a top. Also there are few bulls at major bottoms.
典型地說(shuō),當(dāng)市場(chǎng)在頂部時(shí),異口同聲地看多的人最多;在重大的底部時(shí),很少有人持牛市的觀點(diǎn)。
23. Watch the spreads i.e., don't be bullish if inverses are narrowing.
注意多空套做。也就是說(shuō),如果逆差在減小,不要看多。
24. Remember that a bear market will give up in one month what a bull market has taken 3 months to build.
記住,一個(gè)月的熊市能讓你失去在三個(gè)月的牛市中所得到的。
25. Identify "the dominant factor" in each commodity. Be prepared to redefine this factor as conditions change.
找到每一種商品期貨里的"決定性因素"。隨著情況的變化,隨時(shí)準(zhǔn)備重新判定著一因素。
26. Expand your sources for market info but limit your sources for market opinion.
擴(kuò)充你的市場(chǎng)信息來(lái)源;限制你的市場(chǎng)意見(jiàn)來(lái)源。
27. Don't ever allow a big winning trade to turn into a loser. Stop yourself out if market moves against you 20% from your peak profit point.
永遠(yuǎn)不要讓一場(chǎng)大贏的交易轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)檩敿。如果市?chǎng)使你的贏利從最高處下滑了20%,止損出市。
28. It is never possible to know everything about anything. A commodity trader is in constant danger.
沒(méi)有人能夠做到萬(wàn)事皆知。從事期貨交易總要面臨危險(xiǎn)。
29. Successful trading requires four things. Knowledge, disciplined courage, money, and the energy to merge the first 3 properly.
交易要具備四大要素才能成功:知識(shí)、控制得當(dāng)?shù)挠職、金錢(qián)以及將這三者妥善結(jié)合在一起的精力。
30. Expect and accept losses gracefully. Those who brood over losses always miss the next opportunity, which more than likely will be profitable.
預(yù)見(jiàn)到會(huì)有虧損,雍容大度地接受虧損。那些對(duì)虧損苦思冥想的人總是失去下一個(gè)機(jī)會(huì),而下一個(gè)機(jī)會(huì)很可能是個(gè)贏利的機(jī)會(huì)。
31. The one essential ingredient to making money with money and keeping it is having an organized effort.
用錢(qián)來(lái)掙錢(qián)以及保住錢(qián)的一個(gè)根本要素是做事要有板有眼。
32. Unless you progress, you go backwards. Once you complete a trading goal it is crucial that you immediately set a new goal.
不進(jìn)則退。要緊的是一旦實(shí)現(xiàn)了一個(gè)交易目標(biāo),你應(yīng)該立刻設(shè)定一個(gè)新的目標(biāo)。
33. The art of concentration can help you become a great trader. In other words, set aside time to think, plan, meditate, investigate, research, analyze, evaluate and select your trades carefully.
專心致志的藝術(shù)能夠幫助你成為一個(gè)杰出的交易者。也就是說(shuō),安排出時(shí)間來(lái)仔細(xì)地思考、計(jì)劃、琢磨、調(diào)查、研究、分析、衡量和選擇你的交易。
34. Split your profits right down the middle and never risk more than 50% of them again in the market.
把你的盈利一分為二,決不拿其中的百分之五十以上再到市場(chǎng)上去冒險(xiǎn)。
35. The key to successful trading is in knowing yourself and in knowing your stress point.
成功交易的關(guān)鍵是了解你自己以及知道你自己對(duì)壓力的承受能力。
36. The real difference between winners and losers is not so much native ability as it is discipline exercised in avoiding mistakes.
成功者和失敗者之間的真正區(qū)別,與其說(shuō)是天生的能力,還不如說(shuō)是在避免錯(cuò)誤中表現(xiàn)的有素的訓(xùn)練。
37. The greatest risk for a commodity trader is to rely on hope alone. Never substitute hope for facts. The greatest loss is loss of self-confidence.
期貨交易商的最大的錯(cuò)誤就是把一切都寄托在希望上。永遠(yuǎn)不要用希望來(lái)取代事實(shí)。自信心的失落是最大的虧損。
38. You cannot perform very well for very long with your shoes nailed to the floor. In trading as in fencing there are the quick and the dead.
你不可能在原地不動(dòng)而持久地表現(xiàn)出色。交易就像擊劍,不是快速運(yùn)動(dòng),就是身敗劍下。
39. Remember Mark Twain: "only 10% of the people think. 10% think they think. The other 80% would rather die than think."
記住馬克·土溫說(shuō)的:"只有百分之十的人思考,百分之十的人認(rèn)為他們思考,其余百分之八十的人寧死也不愿思考。"
40. The man who goes to the top as a commodity trader does not do as he pleases. He has trained himself to choose correctly between the two freedoms: the freedom to do as he pleases, and the freedom to do what he must do.
期貨交易高手做事不是隨心所欲。他把自己訓(xùn)練得知道怎樣在兩種自由中作正確的選擇:隨心所欲的自由和非做不可的自由。
41. Since there is always the possibility of surprise in thin, dead markets, less capital should be risked there than in markets which are broad and moving.
因?yàn)樵谡〉、停滯的市?chǎng)里總有出乎意料的可能,在這樣的市場(chǎng)里應(yīng)該比在寬廣的、運(yùn)動(dòng)的市場(chǎng)里投入較少的資本來(lái)承擔(dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
42. Limit the risk in any one trade to a maximum of 10% and the risk in all open trades to a maximum of 25% of trading capital. (risk = pct of available capital). Determine this each day, adding profits and subtracting losses in open trades, and combine this net figure with your trading capital.
將你每一手交易的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制在百分之十以內(nèi)。將你所有持倉(cāng)的交易的總風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制在最多不超過(guò)交易資本的百分之二十五(風(fēng)險(xiǎn)=可用資本的百分比)。每天對(duì)此加以計(jì)算,在持倉(cāng)交易中加上盈利,減去虧損,再把這一數(shù)字同你的交易資本結(jié)合起來(lái)。
43. It does not take much capital to trade a market if one has knowledge and understanding. St. Paul said, "when I am weak I am strong."
如果你懂得和理解一個(gè)市場(chǎng),做交易并不需要很多資本。圣保爾說(shuō)過(guò),"我在軟弱時(shí)則強(qiáng)壯"。
44. Speech may be silver but "Silence is Golden". Traders with the golden touch do not talk.
言談可能是銀子,可"沉默是金子"。有點(diǎn)金術(shù)的交易商稀于言談。
45. Common trading errors include: A) trading without good reasons. B) trading on hope rather than facts. C) overloading without regard for capital.
常見(jiàn)的交易錯(cuò)誤包括:A、理由不充分的交易;B、基于希望多于事實(shí)的交易;C、與資本不相稱的超量交易。
46. "I like the short side of the market because there is usually less company". The mob is usually wrong. It is usually long.
"我喜歡市場(chǎng)看空的一邊,因?yàn)橥ǔ_@里人要少一些"。蜂擁之眾通常是錯(cuò)的,它通常是看多。
47. A fatal mistake made by the fundamental trader is to take small profits. This is the result of limited vision ??? extremes always seem silly to men of so called good judgment.
初學(xué)交易的人的一個(gè)致命的錯(cuò)誤是稍有贏利就出手。這是目光短淺的結(jié)果——對(duì)所謂的明智的人來(lái)說(shuō),走極端總是愚蠢的。
48. Trade only when you have a good reason on an appraisal of fundamentals and using chart action for confirmation and timing of entry and exit.
只有當(dāng)你根據(jù)基本面的分析作出估價(jià),運(yùn)用圖表行為加以證實(shí),并策劃好入市和出市的時(shí)間,只有當(dāng)這些加在一起為你提供了充足的理由時(shí),再做交易。
49. Believe that "the big one is possible" ——be there when it starts. Have the gross power to act, be rested mentally and physically, and finally let your profits run and cut your losses quickly.
相信"大的未必不可能"——一旦大的發(fā)生了,不至于手忙腳亂。讓綜合的力量自己行動(dòng),精神上和肉體上都休息充分,最終讓你的利潤(rùn)滾動(dòng),迅速地砍掉你的損失。
50. Dream big dreams and think tall. Very few people set goals too high. A man becomes what he thinks about all day long.
大膽做夢(mèng),敢于想象。很少有人把目標(biāo)設(shè)得過(guò)高。一個(gè)人從早到晚在思考什么,他最終就變成什么。
51.Commodity trading is the art of regarding fear as the greatest sin and giving up as the greatest mistake. It is the art of accepting failure as a step toward victory.
期貨交易是一門(mén)把恐懼看作是最大的罪惡,把放棄看作是最大的錯(cuò)誤的藝術(shù)。它是一門(mén)把接受失敗看作是向勝利走近一步的藝術(shù)。
52.Have you taken a loss? Forget it quick. If you have taken a profit, forget it quicker. Don't let ego and greed inhibit clear thinking and hard work.
你輸過(guò)嗎?盡快忘了它。你要是贏過(guò),忘它忘得更快一些。不要讓自我和貪婪妨礙清晰的思維和刻苦的工作。
53.The characteristics of realizing bull market are:
a.a fundamental bullish situation
b.a reluctance by specs to buy
c.an inversion or small carrying charge between cash and futures
d.business interests are either cautious or bullish
識(shí)別牛市有下列的特征:
a.從基本面上看,有一個(gè)牛市的情勢(shì)
b.專業(yè)商不情愿去買(mǎi)
c.現(xiàn)貨同期貨之間倒掛或只有少量的持有費(fèi)用
d.商業(yè)興趣或者是持謹(jǐn)慎態(tài)度,或者是看多
54.Always remember that weather markets are mercurial, extreme in price fluctuations, and very difficult to master. Forecasts of weather beyond a few days are not reliable.
始終記住,氣候市場(chǎng)是變幻無(wú)常,價(jià)格變動(dòng)劇烈,極難把握的市場(chǎng)。幾天之外的天氣預(yù)報(bào)就不可靠。
55.One cannot do anything about yesterday. When one door closes, another door opens. The greater opportunity nearly always lies through the open door.
沒(méi)有人能改變昨天發(fā)生的事。當(dāng)一扇門(mén)關(guān)上時(shí),另一扇門(mén)就打開(kāi)了。越過(guò)打開(kāi)的門(mén),往往能找到更大的機(jī)會(huì)。
56.The deepest secret for the trader is to subordinate his will to the will of the market. The market is truth as it reflects all forces that bear upon it. As long as he recognizes this, he is safe. When he ignores it, he is lost.
對(duì)交易者來(lái)說(shuō),最深的秘密就是放棄自己的意愿,屈從于市場(chǎng)的意愿。市場(chǎng)是真理,它反映出它所承擔(dān)的所有的力量。只要交易者認(rèn)識(shí)到這一點(diǎn),他就是安全的。當(dāng)他忽視這一點(diǎn)時(shí),他就會(huì)失敗。
57.Somewhere a change is occurring that can make you rich.
在某一地方某種變化正在發(fā)生,它能使你變得富有。
58.Beware of "fools disease" (i.e. Waiting for trades that you're sure are 100 pct profitable.) It is better never to let yourself believe that you are 100 pct sure of anything.
警惕"愚人病"(也就是等待那些你百分之百肯定會(huì)贏利的交易)。你最好別讓你自己相信你能對(duì)任何一件事百分之百地肯定。
59.A known fundamental is a useless fundamental.
人人皆知的基本原理是毫無(wú)用處的基本原理。
60.Major trends are seldom broken unless market goes against trend for more than 3 consecutive days.
除非市場(chǎng)連續(xù)三天同潮流走反向,主要潮流很少會(huì)轉(zhuǎn)移方向。
61.If a market doesn't do what you think it should and you're tired of waiting , you'd better be out of it.
如果市場(chǎng)所做的不是你認(rèn)為它應(yīng)該做的,而你對(duì)等待已感到厭倦,你最好退出市場(chǎng)。
62.Stay calm and maintain clear thinking when trading big positions.
交易大宗頭寸時(shí),要保持冷靜和頭腦清醒。
63.Reevaluate your position in the market if charts have deteriorated and fundamentals have not developed as you expected.
如果圖形走弱,而且基本面的發(fā)展不像你所預(yù)期的那樣,重新對(duì)你在市場(chǎng)的頭寸作估價(jià)。
64.Above all be mentally prepared for the rigors of each trading day from the time you get up each morning until you go to bed at night.
最重要的是在精神上對(duì)每個(gè)交易日的嚴(yán)峻場(chǎng)面作好準(zhǔn)備,從每天早晨你爬起來(lái),一直到晚上回到床上。
65.Do whatever is necessary to stay on top of the markets you are trading.
竭盡全力,停留在你所交易的市場(chǎng)的頂部。
66.Believe that the market is stronger than you are. Do not try to fight the market.
相信市場(chǎng)比你要強(qiáng)大。不要企圖同市場(chǎng)抗?fàn)帯?br> 67.Beware of large positions that can control your emotions and feelings. In other words don't be overly aggressive with the market. Treat it gently by allowing your equity to grow steadily rather than in bursts.
對(duì)那些會(huì)控制你情緒波動(dòng)的大頭寸保持警惕,也就是說(shuō),在市場(chǎng)上不要過(guò)分冒進(jìn)。與其暴贏,不如緩進(jìn),穩(wěn)扎穩(wěn)打地積累資產(chǎn)。
68.Capital preservation is just as important as capital appreciation.
資本保存同資本增值一樣要緊。
69.When a market's gotten away and you've missed the first leg you should still consider jumping in even if it is dangerous and difficult.
如果市場(chǎng)已經(jīng)起步了而你錯(cuò)過(guò)了第一輪烽火,你不妨仍然考慮中途介入,即使這樣做是危險(xiǎn)而困難的。
70.Work hard at understanding the key factor(s) motivating the market(s) you are trading. In other words, the harder you work the luckier you'll be.
交易時(shí),努力去理解那些推動(dòng)市場(chǎng)的關(guān)鍵因素。換句話說(shuō),越努力你就會(huì)越幸運(yùn)。
71.Remember that it's better to trade a few big moves a year (and close them out profitably) than to trade constantly.
記住,與其不斷地交易,不如每年少交易幾手(并在贏利時(shí)出手)。
72.Set an objective for each trade you enter and get out when you meet it. Don't be greedy!
為你的每一手交易設(shè)立一個(gè)目標(biāo),達(dá)到目標(biāo)就出手。不要貪心!
73.Remember that for many commodities ,politics are more important than economics.
記住,對(duì)許多商品來(lái)說(shuō),政治比經(jīng)濟(jì)更重要。
74.Never add to a losing position.
不要在輸錢(qián)的頭寸上加碼。
75.Beware of trying to pick tops or bottoms.
挑選底部和頂部時(shí)要小心。
76. Worry about how much you can lose. Figure risk reward ratio ahead of trade. Strive for at least 3x potential profit vs. loss.
要想到你能夠輸多少錢(qián),交易前就想好風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回報(bào)比例。盡力做到可能的盈利要三倍于可能的虧損。
77. If it appears that lots of bulls are long , be nervous!
如果看上去有很多多頭在買(mǎi),你就需要警惕起來(lái)。
78. If you have a good lead in the market and all the news seems too good to be true you'd better take profits.
如果你在市場(chǎng)上領(lǐng)先一籌,而且所有的消息都好得難以置信,你最好是收回你的盈利,出市走人。
79. The news always follows the market.
新聞總是尾隨市場(chǎng)之后。
80. There is only one side to the market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side.
市場(chǎng)只有一種,不是牛市或熊市,而是正確之市。
81. A man must believe in himself and his judgment if he expects to make a living at this game.
如果有人想在這場(chǎng)游戲里生存,他必須相信自己和自己的判斷力。
82. It is the big swing that makes the big money for you. "It was never my wishing that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting tight." Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. The market does not beat them. They beat themselves. You must have the courage of your convictions and the intelligent patience to sit tight.
大浪潮為你創(chuàng)造大筆財(cái)富。"為我?guī)?lái)大筆財(cái)富的從來(lái)就不是我的祈求。它從來(lái)都是因?yàn)槲易粍?dòng)。"能夠既正確又坐著不動(dòng)的人是不多見(jiàn)的。市場(chǎng)打不敗他們,打敗他們的是他們自己。一定要有堅(jiān)韌的勇氣和智慧的耐心,你才做得到坐著不動(dòng)。
83. To buy on a rising market is a most comfortable way of buying. Buy on a scale up. Sell on a scale down.
最不讓人擔(dān)心的買(mǎi)進(jìn)方法是在一個(gè)上升的市場(chǎng)里買(mǎi)進(jìn)。買(mǎi)高賣(mài)低。
84. Commodities are never too high to begin buying or too low to begin selling. But after the initial transaction, don't make a second unless the first shows a profit.
商品沒(méi)有高到不該再買(mǎi)的時(shí)候,也沒(méi)有低到不該再賣(mài)的時(shí)候。不過(guò),在最初的轉(zhuǎn)手后,除非第一手交易獲利了,不要再做第二手。
85. Realize that the big money comes in the big swing. Whatever might seem to give a big swing, its initial impulse, the fact is that no matter who opposes it, the swing must inevitably run as far and as fast and as long as the impelling forces determine.
要意識(shí)到大筆錢(qián)來(lái)自大浪潮。無(wú)論什么是看上去會(huì)掀起大浪潮的,它最初的鼓動(dòng),事實(shí)是,不管是誰(shuí)對(duì)抗它,大浪潮都無(wú)可避免地必然按照推動(dòng)它的力量所決定的速度,沖到推動(dòng)它的力量所決定的遠(yuǎn)處。
86. In the long run, commodity prices are governed but by one law , the economic law of demand and supply.
從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看,決定商品價(jià)格的只有一條法則,供與求的經(jīng)濟(jì)法則。
87. A loss never bothers me after I take it. I forget it overnight. But being wrong and not taking the loss , that is what does the damage to the pocket book and to the soul.
當(dāng)我接受了一手輸了的交易,我就不再為它煩惱。隔了一夜我就忘了。但是,如果我做得不對(duì),不肯接受我輸了的事實(shí),這才會(huì)既對(duì)記賬本也對(duì)心靈造成損害。
88. It is profitable to study your mistakes.
研究你的錯(cuò)誤會(huì)給你帶來(lái)利潤(rùn)。
89. Of all speculative blunders, there are few greater than selling what shows a profit and keeping what shows a loss.
在所有為投機(jī)而犯的愚蠢的錯(cuò)誤里,很少有比賣(mài)掉會(huì)賺錢(qián)、買(mǎi)進(jìn)要賠錢(qián)的更愚蠢的了。
90. Nothing is new in commodities! The game does not change and neither does human nature.
期貨交易里沒(méi)有什么新東西!游戲沒(méi)有變;人性也沒(méi)有變。
91. In a bear market, it is always wise to cover if complete demoralization suddenly develops.
在熊市里,一旦突然全場(chǎng)士氣低落,你最好趕快平倉(cāng)。
92. The principles of successful commodity speculation is based on the supposition that people will continue in the future to make the mistakes that they have made in the past.
成功的期貨投機(jī),其原理建立在這樣的假設(shè)上:人們?cè)谖磥?lái)會(huì)重犯他們?cè)谶^(guò)去犯過(guò)的錯(cuò)誤。
93. In a bull market and particularly in booms, the public at first makes money, which it later looses simply by overstaying the bull market.
在牛市里,特別是在高峰的時(shí)候,公眾最初贏錢(qián),然后就因?yàn)樵谂J欣锿A籼L(zhǎng),而全輸了回去。
94. A bull market needs to be fed every day , a bear market only once a week.
牛市需要每天為它提供給養(yǎng);熊市只需要一個(gè)星期為它提供一次給養(yǎng)。
95. Never underestimate how much time is necessary to wash out a market that is long.
不要過(guò)低估量需要多少時(shí)間清洗一個(gè)看多的市場(chǎng)。
96. Never buy the first rally and never sell the first break.
不要在第一次回升時(shí)買(mǎi)進(jìn),也不要在第一次下跌時(shí)賣(mài)出。
97. Be advised that it is better to be more interested in the market's reaction to new information than in the piece of news itself.
最好是記住,與其對(duì)一則新聞本身感興趣,不如對(duì)市場(chǎng)對(duì)該則新消息的反應(yīng)感興趣。
98. Don't diversify , concentrate on a few commodities. More diversity reduces amount you can speculate with. Also too much to watch.
不要撒芝麻在幾種商品上。分布過(guò)散會(huì)減少你能用以投機(jī)的數(shù)量。況且要看管的太多。
99. Don't pioneer highs or lows. Let the market tell you a high or low has been made.
不要在高處或低處打沖鋒。讓市場(chǎng)告訴你什么是新高或新低。
100. Keep some perspective. Trees don't grow to the sky. Values don't go to zero. What are histories and recent highs and lows, Loan levels, Loans are not necessarily price floors. CCC selling prices aren't necessarily price ceilings.
持有你自己的觀點(diǎn)。樹(shù)木長(zhǎng)不到天空那么高,價(jià)值不會(huì)跌到等于零。貸款不一定就是價(jià)格的底部。商品信用公司(CCC)的銷(xiāo)售價(jià)不一定就是價(jià)格的頂部。
101. "If you get in on Jones' tip; get out on Jones' tip". If you are riding another person's idea, ride it all the way.
"如果你是根據(jù)張三的小道消息走進(jìn)市場(chǎng),那就按照張三的小道消息走出市?quot;。如果你是依賴別人的主意行事,那就按照他的主意走到底。
102. Run early or not at all. Don't be an eleven o'clock bull or a five o'clock bear.
要么就早跑,要么就別跑。不要做11點(diǎn)鐘的牛,或者5點(diǎn)鐘的熊。
103. Woodrow Wilson said, "a governments first priority is to organize the common interest against special interests". Successful traders seek out market opportunities capitalizing on the reality that government's first priority is rarely achieved.
伍德儒·威爾遜說(shuō)過(guò):"一個(gè)政府的首要任務(wù)是把共有的利益組織起來(lái)以對(duì)抗特殊的利益。"在現(xiàn)實(shí)中,這一政府的首要任務(wù)難得真正實(shí)現(xiàn)。成功的交易者尋求的市場(chǎng)機(jī)會(huì)就是建立在這樣的現(xiàn)實(shí)上的。
104. People who buy headlines eventually end up selling newspapers.
那些相信報(bào)紙頭條的人最終的命運(yùn)就是賣(mài)報(bào)紙。
105. If you do not know who you are, the market is an expensive place to find out.
如果你對(duì)自己缺乏了解,市場(chǎng)是一個(gè)昂貴的地方來(lái)發(fā)現(xiàn)你自己。
106. Never give advice—the smart don't need it and the stupid don't heed it.
不要給別人出主意——聰明人不需要,傻瓜不會(huì)聽(tīng)你的。
107. Disregard all prognostications. In the world of money, which is a world shaped by human behavior, nobody has the foggiest notion of what will happen in the future. Mark that word—nobody! Thus the successful trader bases no moves on what supposedly will happen but reacts instead to what does happen.
無(wú)視所有的預(yù)言。金錢(qián)的世界是一個(gè)以人的行為勾畫(huà)出的世界。在金錢(qián)世界里,沒(méi)有一個(gè)人對(duì)將來(lái)會(huì)有絲毫的概念。記住這個(gè)詞的沒(méi)有一個(gè)人。所以,成功的交易者不是把自己的行動(dòng)建筑在什么是應(yīng)該發(fā)生的上,而是對(duì)所發(fā)生的事而作出反應(yīng)。
108. Worry is not a sickness but a sign of health. If you are not worried, you are not risking enough.
擔(dān)心不是病狀,而是健康的標(biāo)志。如果你不擔(dān)心,那就說(shuō)明你承擔(dān)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)還不夠。
109. Except in unusual circumstances, get in the habit of taking your profit too soon. Don't torment yourself if a trade continues winning without you. Chances are it won't continue long. If it does console yourself by thinking of all the times when liquidating early preserved gains you would otherwise have lost.
除了在不同尋常的情況里,養(yǎng)成早些兌現(xiàn)你的盈利的習(xí)慣。不要折磨你自己即使你出來(lái)之后那筆交易還在贏錢(qián)。非?赡艿氖沁@不會(huì)延續(xù)很長(zhǎng)。即使這種情況繼續(xù)下去,想一想所有由于你提前平倉(cāng)而避免了失去既得盈利的場(chǎng)合。
110. When the ship starts to sink, don't pray—jump!
一旦船開(kāi)始下沉,不要祈禱——跳船!
111. Life never happens in a straight line. Any adult knows this. But we can too easily be hypnotized into forgetting it when contemplating a chart. Beware of the chartist's illusion.
生活從來(lái)就不是一條直線。每一個(gè)成年人都知道這一點(diǎn)?墒,當(dāng)我們?cè)谟^看圖表時(shí)太容易被引導(dǎo)得忘掉這一點(diǎn)。警惕圖表制作者創(chuàng)造的幻覺(jué)。
112. Optimism means expecting the best, but confidence means knowing how you will handle the worst. Never make a move if you are merely optimistic.
樂(lè)觀主義意味著期望最好的情況發(fā)生。自信心意味著知道一旦最壞的情況發(fā)生你會(huì)怎樣處理。如果你只是樂(lè)觀而已,千萬(wàn)不要輕舉妄動(dòng)。
113. Whatever you do, whether you bet with the herd or against, think it through independently first.
不管你做什么,不管你是隨流而下還是逆流而上,首先對(duì)你要做的事作一獨(dú)立的思考。
114. Repeatedly reevaluate your open positions. Keep asking yourself: would I put my money into this if it were presented to me for the first time today? Is this trade progressing toward the ending position I envisioned?
反復(fù)地重新衡量你的持倉(cāng)頭寸。不斷地問(wèn)自己:如果這是我今天第一次才看到的,我會(huì)投錢(qián)進(jìn)去嗎?這手交易是不是在向我想象的方向發(fā)展?
115. It is a safe bet that the money lost by (short term) speculation is small compared with the gigantic sums lost by those who let their investments "ride". Long term investors are the biggest gamblers as after they make a trade they often times stay with it and end up losing it all. The intelligent trader will . By acting promptly—hold losses to a minimum.
可以這么說(shuō),比起那些讓他們的投資"隨波逐流"的人所損失的巨額款項(xiàng)來(lái),(短線)的投機(jī)所損失的還是小數(shù)目。長(zhǎng)線投資者在進(jìn)入交易之后,常常待著不走而最終全都輸?shù)簟T谶@種意義上,他們是最大的賭博者。智慧的交易者,通過(guò)及時(shí)采取行動(dòng),把損失限制在最小的范圍內(nèi)。
116. As a rule of thumb good trend lines should touch at least three previous highs or lows. The more points the line catches, the better the line.
實(shí)際經(jīng)驗(yàn)證明,一條可信的市場(chǎng)動(dòng)向曲線應(yīng)當(dāng)至少三次碰到先前的高峰點(diǎn)或低谷點(diǎn)。一條曲線能抓住的接觸點(diǎn)越多,這條曲線就越可信。
117. Volume and open interest are as important to the technician as price.
對(duì)技術(shù)分析來(lái)說(shuō),交易量和持倉(cāng)量同價(jià)格一樣重要。
118. The clearest and easiest way to determine a trend is from previous highs and lows. Higher highs and higher lows mark an uptrend, lower highs and lower lows mark a downtrend.
確定市場(chǎng)動(dòng)向的最清楚和最容易的方法是根據(jù)舊高和舊低。高于舊高和舊低標(biāo)志著向上的走向,低于舊高和舊低標(biāo)志著朝下的走向。
119. Don't sell a quiet market after a fall because a low volume sell-off is actually a very bullish situation.
不要在一個(gè)剛經(jīng)過(guò)跌落的安靜的市場(chǎng)里賣(mài)。因?yàn)榈土髁康牡袑?shí)際上是一個(gè)非?炊嗟奶幘。
120. Prices are made in the minds of men, not in the soybean field: fear and greed can temporarily drive prices far beyond their so called real value.
價(jià)格是在人的頭腦里訂出來(lái)的,而不是在大豆田里訂出來(lái)的?謶趾拓澙房梢园褍r(jià)格暫時(shí)推到遠(yuǎn)離所謂的實(shí)際價(jià)格之外。
121. When the market breaks through a weekly or monthly high, it is a buy signal. When it breaks through the previous weekly or monthly low, it is a sell signal.
當(dāng)市場(chǎng)穿過(guò)一個(gè)星期或一個(gè)月的高位時(shí),這是買(mǎi)的信號(hào)。當(dāng)它穿過(guò)前一星期或前一月低位時(shí),這是賣(mài)的信號(hào)。
122. Every sunken ship has a chart.
沒(méi)有一艘沉船是不備有圖表的。
123. Take a trading break. A break will give you a detached view of the market and a fresh look at yourself and the way you want to trade for the next several weeks.
在交易之中不妨找個(gè)時(shí)間休息一下。休息一下可以讓你站在另一個(gè)角度上來(lái)看一看市場(chǎng),讓你重新看一看你自己以及你在以后幾個(gè)星期內(nèi)想用的交易方法。
124. Assimilate into your very bones a set of trading rules that works for you.
讓你每根骨頭的骨髓里都滲透一套對(duì)你有用的交易規(guī)則。
125. The final phase in a bull move is an accelerated runaway near the top. In this phase, the market always makes you believe that you have underestimated the potential bull market. The temptation to continue pyramiding your position is strong as profits have now swelled to the point that you believe your account can stand any setback. It is imperative at this juncture to take profits on your pyramids and reduce the position back to base levels. The base position is then liquidated when it becomes apparent that the move has ended.
一個(gè)牛市運(yùn)動(dòng)的最后階段是一場(chǎng)接近頂部的加速賽跑。在這一階段,市場(chǎng)總是讓你相信你低估了潛在的牛市。隨著盈利膨脹到讓你相信你的賬戶可以對(duì)付任何挫折,繼續(xù)堆砌你的頭寸金字塔的誘惑強(qiáng)大。在這關(guān)鍵的時(shí)候,要緊的是從你的金字塔上拿走你的盈利,把你的頭寸減少到基本水平。隨后,當(dāng)這一運(yùn)動(dòng)變得顯然結(jié)束了時(shí),將這基本頭寸也平倉(cāng)。